Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
HFC
2 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
BVV
1 - 0
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
BVO
4 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
HEL
2 - 2
EXC
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1997 |
FCO
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
ZWO
3 - 3
FCO
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
TEL
1 - 1
ZWO
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
ZWO
3 - 0
FCD
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
VVV
1 - 1
ZWO
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
BOS
1 - 2
ZWO
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |