Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
BOS
2 - 1
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCE
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCD
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
BVO
3 - 1
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
ZWO
0 - 3
VVV
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
ZWO
4 - 1
TEL
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
RBC
0 - 1
ZWO
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
BVV
2 - 1
ZWO
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
BOS
1 - 2
ZWO
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |