Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
64%
23%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
PSV
4 - 3
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
HFC
5 - 1
ZWO
64%
21%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
GAE
2 - 1
ZWO
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
ZWO
1 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |