Excelsior vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
RJC
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
EXC
4 - 1
ALK
79%
14%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
HEL
2 - 1
EXC
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GAE
0 - 0
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 2
ALM
43%
24%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JON
1 - 1
VOL
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 1
FCO
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 5
VOL
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 0
EIN
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |