Excelsior vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
FCO
3 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCE
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1998 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
FCD
3 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
VOL
4 - 2
HEL
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
VOL
3 - 2
FCO
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
FCE
4 - 0
VOL
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
VOL
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
VOL
4 - 1
SCH
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |