Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RJC
2 - 1
EXC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HOF
2 - 2
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
0 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
FEY
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
1 - 1
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
UTR
4 - 3
AND
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
WUR
0 - 0
UTR
18%
22%
61%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |