Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
3 - 3
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
WKE
0 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
TWE
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIT
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 5
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 3
UTR
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 3
GAE
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 1
UTR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |