Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
WIL
3 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 4
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 3
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
HFC
4 - 2
UTR
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
GAE
4 - 0
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
UTR
4 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |