Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
GAE
0 - 2
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
EXC
4 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
UTR
3 - 1
SPA
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
ADO
2 - 1
UTR
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
UTR
2 - 0
MVV
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
UTR
2 - 1
PSV
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
NEC
3 - 1
UTR
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |