Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
GAE
4 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 1
FEY
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
RJC
4 - 2
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 0
GRA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
MVV
1 - 1
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 2
TEL
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
TEL
4 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |