Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
29%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 3
ADO
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |