Excelsior vs Twente analysis

Excelsior Twente
63 ELO 74
16.2% Tilt 1.5%
563º General ELO ranking 115º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.1%
Excelsior
24.9%
Draw
48%
Twente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
Excelsior
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48%
Win probability
Twente
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior
+11%
-6%
Twente

ELO progression

Excelsior
Twente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2017
GRO
Groningen
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
63%
22%
15%
62 73 11 0
28 Jan. 2017
RJC
Roda JC
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
48%
26%
26%
63 65 2 -1
22 Jan. 2017
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
49%
24%
27%
63 64 1 0
14 Jan. 2017
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
80%
15%
6%
64 85 21 -1
07 Jan. 2017
AJA
Ajax
1 - 3
Excelsior
EXC
73%
18%
9%
64 86 22 0

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2017
TWE
Twente
0 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
24%
24%
52%
75 84 9 0
29 Jan. 2017
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
41%
26%
34%
74 72 2 +1
20 Jan. 2017
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Heracles
HER
50%
25%
25%
74 71 3 0
15 Jan. 2017
VIT
Vitesse
3 - 1
Twente
TWE
43%
26%
31%
75 74 1 -1
07 Jan. 2017
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
22%
23%
55%
75 68 7 0