Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RJC
4 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 3
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TWE
0 - 2
FEY
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
TWE
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |