Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 4
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HER
0 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
4 - 0
SPA
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FEY
5 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 4
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |