Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
BVO
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 2
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AZA
2 - 2
TWE
33%
26%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TWE
3 - 1
UTR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 3
TWE
11%
18%
71%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HER
1 - 4
TWE
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |