Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TWE
2 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
1 - 1
TWE
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 0
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |