Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
FOR
3 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
HFC
2 - 3
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 2
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 8
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
SPA
2 - 0
TWE
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 1
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |