Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
UTR
3 - 1
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
GAE
2 - 1
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 0
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |