Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
EXC
1 - 0
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
SPA
4 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 0
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
3 - 3
TWE
35%
26%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 1
FOR
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |