Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
MVV
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 3
ZWO
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
GÖT
2 - 0
TWE
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
TWE
0 - 1
PSV
51%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 2
TWE
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
TWE
5 - 1
GÖT
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 1
WAG
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |