Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPA
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 0
EXC
59%
21%
21%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 6
EXC
6%
12%
82%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
SIN
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
JUT
1 - 3
FCO
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
FCO
2 - 2
OSS
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
3 - 2
FCO
75%
16%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 0
FCO
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
FCO
2 - 0
RJC
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |