Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
JON
0 - 2
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 8
EXC
28%
26%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
2 - 1
MVV
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
2 - 2
VOL
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
FCD
3 - 2
FCO
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
0 - 3
ALM
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BOS
3 - 0
FCO
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |