Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
VOL
2 - 0
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
HFC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
FCE
3 - 2
EXC
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
HER
2 - 2
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
HEL
2 - 4
FCO
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
FCO
3 - 3
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HEL
4 - 2
FCO
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
FCO
2 - 0
GAE
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |