Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 3
EIN
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 2
EXC
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
APE
75%
16%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
VVV
4 - 2
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 1
BVO
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 2
HER
29%
24%
48%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 3
FCO
43%
24%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
TEL
1 - 3
FCO
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 0
APE
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |