Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
FCE
1 - 3
EXC
31%
24%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
RBC
3 - 0
EXC
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
HFC
3 - 0
EXC
20%
22%
59%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
FCO
2 - 3
ZWO
16%
21%
64%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCO
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
FCE
2 - 0
FCO
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
FCO
1 - 5
BVV
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
RBC
4 - 0
FCO
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |