Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
VOL
0 - 5
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2000 |
ADO
2 - 3
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
EXC
5 - 1
MVV
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
TEL
3 - 1
EXC
26%
25%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
EXC
3 - 1
FCE
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
FCO
3 - 3
EIN
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2000 |
BOS
2 - 0
FCO
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
FCO
4 - 2
HEL
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
ADO
3 - 2
FCO
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
BVV
3 - 1
FCO
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |