Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
ZWO
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
FCE
4 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 5
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
4 - 1
HER
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
EXC
6 - 1
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
FCO
0 - 0
GRO
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
FCO
1 - 2
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
HEL
2 - 0
FCO
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
FCO
0 - 1
FCE
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
HER
0 - 3
FCO
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |