Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 1
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
23%
21%
56%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
TWE
4 - 2
EXC
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 1
JUT
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
GRO
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
MVV
1 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 0
TEL
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |