Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
MVV
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 2
EXC
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
JUT
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 5
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 4
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
66%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
ZWO
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 4
GRO
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GAE
0 - 1
GRO
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
RKC
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |