Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
VVV
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 3
NEC
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 2
PSV
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HER
4 - 1
GRO
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 0
GRO
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 1
UTR
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 2
TWE
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |