Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
59%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 3
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
RJC
2 - 2
GRO
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ADO
0 - 3
GRO
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GRO
0 - 2
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GRO
4 - 2
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |