Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TWE
1 - 2
EXC
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
FCO
2 - 0
EXC
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 2
EXC
27%
23%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 5
FEY
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
6 - 2
FCE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 3
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
QPR
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |