Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 5
SCH
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
FIO
33%
29%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 2
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GRO
0 - 2
GRA
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 3
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |