Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
FEY
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
SCH
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 2
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 2
GRO
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 1
SPA
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |