Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 2
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
10%
22%
68%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
GRO
3 - 0
ZWO
66%
18%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
GRO
1 - 0
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
HFC
1 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
GRO
1 - 4
RJC
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
GRO
0 - 0
VVV
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |