Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
MVV
2 - 1
EXC
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 2
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
GRO
1 - 0
BOS
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |