Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
7 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
NEC
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
AMS
4 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 2
ADO
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
GRO
0 - 3
TWE
27%
30%
43%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
GRO
0 - 2
TEL
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |