Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
IJS
0 - 3
EXC
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ADO
0 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 1
EXC
56%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
DVS
2 - 1
EIN
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 3
JON
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 0
EIN
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 1
FCO
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
RJC
2 - 0
EIN
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |