Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
HEL
2 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
PSV
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
EXC
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 2
ALM
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
VVV
2 - 1
EIN
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 0
HEL
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
MVV
0 - 4
EIN
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 1
TEL
73%
17%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |