Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 4
HEL
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
VOL
4 - 1
EIN
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 1
BVO
37%
25%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 3
MVV
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
WAC
2 - 1
EIN
9%
16%
75%
|
67 | 13 | 54 | +1 |