Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
GAE
1 - 1
EXC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 0
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 1
MVV
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
HFC
2 - 1
EIN
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 1
HEL
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
VVV
6 - 0
EIN
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
FCE
1 - 4
EIN
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |