Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
BOS
3 - 3
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 3
BVV
58%
22%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 1
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 1
RBC
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ADO
4 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
EIN
3 - 2
VOL
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
FCO
0 - 4
EIN
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1999 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCE
42%
24%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
EIN
33%
24%
43%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
EIN
0 - 5
PSV
4%
10%
86%
|
62 | 89 | 27 | 0 |