Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
RJC
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
JUT
0 - 1
EXC
15%
20%
64%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
6 - 2
JON
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
EIN
4 - 1
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCE
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
BOS
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOS
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 1
ADO
17%
21%
63%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
FCO
2 - 1
BOS
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 2
EIN
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |