Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FCO
1 - 3
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
17%
19%
64%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 1
NAC
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
HEL
4 - 0
BOS
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 2
ALK
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
JUT
3 - 1
BOS
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 1
EIN
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |