Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 1
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BVV
2 - 1
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
FCD
0 - 1
EXC
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
BVO
1 - 0
BOS
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BOS
4 - 4
FCE
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
EIN
1 - 1
BOS
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
BOS
3 - 0
VOL
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
BOS
1 - 0
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |