Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
DEB
0 - 1
EXC
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 0
GAE
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
FCE
0 - 2
EXC
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
BOS
2 - 2
BVV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
BOS
2 - 1
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 4
BOS
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
BOS
1 - 1
FOR
74%
18%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
VVV
2 - 0
BOS
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |