Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
4 - 1
BVV
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCO
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
HFC
2 - 1
EXC
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
FCD
0 - 1
BOS
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
2 - 1
RBC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
0 - 2
EIN
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
1 - 2
BOS
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
BOS
5 - 0
FCE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |