Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
EIN
0 - 6
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVV
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
FCD
1 - 0
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 2
FCD
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VOL
4 - 2
BOS
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
BOS
5 - 1
APE
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
BOS
5 - 3
EIN
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
BVV
1 - 1
BOS
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |