Excelsior vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
20%
22%
57%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
5 - 3
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
HEL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 4
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
FCO
1 - 4
FCE
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
TEL
1 - 2
FCE
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
FCE
1 - 1
APE
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
VVV
2 - 4
FCE
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
MVV
3 - 4
FCE
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |