Excelsior vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BVV
1 - 1
EXC
28%
23%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
EXC
1 - 2
RBC
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2001 |
ADO
4 - 2
EXC
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
NAC
0 - 1
EXC
40%
24%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
EXC
5 - 0
HFC
79%
13%
7%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCE
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
FCE
4 - 0
HEL
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
RKC
1 - 0
FCE
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
FCE
3 - 2
BVV
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
FCE
1 - 1
ADO
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |