Excelsior vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 1
VOL
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
FCO
3 - 0
EXC
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
BOS
4 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 2
ADO
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FCE
2 - 2
BOS
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
ADO
3 - 2
FCE
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
FCE
2 - 1
MVV
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
BVV
4 - 2
FCE
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
TEL
0 - 1
FCE
39%
26%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |